Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
“Things take longer to happen than you think they will, and then they happen faster than you thought they could.” - Rudiger DornbuschI’ve had a lot of discussions on my podcast where we haggle out timelines to AGI. Some guests think it’s 20 years away - others 2 years. Here’s where my thoughts stand as of June 2025.Sometimes people say that even if all AI progress totally stopped, the systems of today would still be far more economically transformative than the internet. I disagree. I think the ...
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