Most people know that AI has made unbelievable progress over the last fifteen years– especially in the last five. It might feel like that progress is *inevitable* – although large paradigm-shift-level breakthroughs are uncommon, we march on anyway through a stream of slow & steady progress. In fact, some researchers have recently declared a “Moore’s Law for AI” where the computer’s ability to do certain things (in this case, certain types of coding tasks) increases exponentially with time:the pr...