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Alignment is not free: How model upgrades can silence your confidence signals | Variance

The Flattening Calibration CurveThe post-training process for LLMs can bias behavior for language models when they encounter content that violates their safety post-training guidelines. As mentioned by OpenAI’s GPT-4 system card, model calibration rarely survives post-training, resulting in models that are extremely confident even when they’re wrong.¹ For our use case, we often see this behavior with the side effect of biasing language model outputs towards violations, which can result in wasted...

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