Recession Watch by Calculated Risk on 4/05/2025 07:19:00 PM I am going on "recession watch" for only the 4th time in the 20+ years that I've been writing this blog. In December 2022 I went on "recession watch", but I noted "My sense is growth will stay sluggish in 2023, but the economy will avoid recession."  And the economy did avoid recession! The other two times were in early 2007 (housing bust / financial crisis), and in March 2020 (pandemic). And I correctly called a recession.Mostly I've ...