April 3rd 2025 PDF ListenDaniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, Romeo DeanWe predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution.We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like.1 It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes.2The CEOs of OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Anthropic have all predic...