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Supply Constraints do not Explain House Price and Quantity Growth Across U.S. Cities

Working Paper 33576 DOI 10.3386/w33576 Issue Date March 2025 The standard view of housing markets holds that the flexibility of local housing supply–shaped by factors like geography and regulation–strongly affects the response of house prices, house quantities and population to rising housing demand. However, from 2000 to 2020, we find that higher income growth predicts the same growth in house prices, housing quantity, and population regardless of a city's estimated housing supply elasticity. W...

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