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AI’s $600B Question

The AI bubble is reaching a tipping point. Navigating what comes next will be essential. In September 2023, I published AI’s $200B Question. The goal of the piece was to ask the question: “Where is all the revenue?” At that time, I noticed a big gap between the revenue expectations implied by the AI infrastructure build-out, and actual revenue growth in the AI ecosystem, which is also a proxy for end-user value. I described this as a “$125B hole that needs to be filled for each year of CapEx at ...

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