Travel agents took 10 years to collapse. Developers are 3 years in.
Travel agents are the go-to example of an industry killed by the internet. And the numbers are brutal: US agents fell from 132,000 to 74,000, retail locations from 34,000 to 13,000, total jobs down 70% by 2021[1]. But that collapse took a decade. The ones who survived did it by going upmarket. I keep thinking about this when I look at what's coming for software engineering - except this time, I don't think we get ten years.
The history
Interestingly, while researching this article there are some...
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