A BEST CASE SCENARIO FOR AI? The Doomer narratives were wrong. Predicated on a “rapid take-off” to AGI, they predicted that the leading AI model would use its intelligence to self-improve, leaving others in the dust, and quickly achieving a godlike superintelligence. Instead, we are seeing the opposite: — the leading models are clustering around similar performance benchmarks; — model companies continue to leapfrog each other with their latest versions (which shouldn’t be possible if one achieve...